Money, Markets & New Age Investing

S2 E2: What Does the FOMC Know, That the Markets Don't?

December 18, 2023 Greg Weldon Season 2 Episode 2
S2 E2: What Does the FOMC Know, That the Markets Don't?
Money, Markets & New Age Investing
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Money, Markets & New Age Investing
S2 E2: What Does the FOMC Know, That the Markets Don't?
Dec 18, 2023 Season 2 Episode 2
Greg Weldon

What Does the FOMC Know, That the Markets Don't? 

Alternative Title: "Jerome Powell goes Mandelbaum on the Market!"
 
Indeed, Jerome Powell and the FOMC stunned markets last week as the US Central Bank did NOT verbally "protest" the uber-dovish Fed Funds Rates "priced into" the futures market for end-2024 (roughly 4.50%, down from 5.00% in October), but rather went DEEPER and MORE DOVISH, with projections that put the FF Policy Rate BELOW 4% by the end of next year. 

The Fed went "Mandelbaum" on the markets..."taking it up a notch", like the famed supporting character in the US sitcom "Seinfeld", an 80-year-old workout guru and Jerry's personal trainer Izzy Mandelbaum.

But WHY?
 

With inflation at 3% to 4%, the 5.5% FF Policy Rate is "sufficiently restrictive", and thus right where they want it to be. Moreover, inflation remains sticky in many staples and embedded in housing and services. So WHY the DRAMATIC and abrupt 180-degree about-face in monetary policy?
 

Does the Fed know something the markets don't?

Perhaps, The Fed is moving to protect something other than the economy...maybe there is an issue with credit conditions and the BANKS?

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Show Notes Chapter Markers

What Does the FOMC Know, That the Markets Don't? 

Alternative Title: "Jerome Powell goes Mandelbaum on the Market!"
 
Indeed, Jerome Powell and the FOMC stunned markets last week as the US Central Bank did NOT verbally "protest" the uber-dovish Fed Funds Rates "priced into" the futures market for end-2024 (roughly 4.50%, down from 5.00% in October), but rather went DEEPER and MORE DOVISH, with projections that put the FF Policy Rate BELOW 4% by the end of next year. 

The Fed went "Mandelbaum" on the markets..."taking it up a notch", like the famed supporting character in the US sitcom "Seinfeld", an 80-year-old workout guru and Jerry's personal trainer Izzy Mandelbaum.

But WHY?
 

With inflation at 3% to 4%, the 5.5% FF Policy Rate is "sufficiently restrictive", and thus right where they want it to be. Moreover, inflation remains sticky in many staples and embedded in housing and services. So WHY the DRAMATIC and abrupt 180-degree about-face in monetary policy?
 

Does the Fed know something the markets don't?

Perhaps, The Fed is moving to protect something other than the economy...maybe there is an issue with credit conditions and the BANKS?

Support the Show.

https://twitter.com/money_podcast
Money, Markets & New Age Investing Podcast
@money_podcast

https://instagram.com/age_of_polarization_investing
Money, Markets & New Age Investing Podcast

https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100094931703462
Money, Markets & New Age Investing Podcast

https://www.youtube.com/@GregoryWeldon
https://www.youtube.com/@MoneyMarketsNewAgeInvestingPod
Our YouTube Channels

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